Alexi McCammond: Well, I’m not disappointed, but I’d love to know what you guys think about the 2024 race situation. Basically, the general election has already begun, and the situation looks bleak for President Biden. There’s no other way to read what’s going on.
Eugene Robinson: I think the polls are saying Donald Trump could win. Not necessarily, but it can be done. It must penetrate people’s hearts.
Dana Milbank: I’m so nervous! I’ve been under the bed for a week. Maybe it’s longer. You can’t keep track of time here.
Alexi: 😭 A new New York Times/Siena College poll focuses more attention on President Trump, especially his legal troubles, dictator-like rhetoric, and plans to become increasingly conservative for a second term. However, I really don’t understand why President Trump has a 5 point lead. .
Eugene: Never bet everything on one vote. What’s even scarier is that the votes are so static and consistent.
Alexi: So why does the Biden campaign and supporters seem so unconcerned?
Husband: Also, like Gene said, I think Trump should be feared by everyone. did it win. This should serve as a wake-up call to all those who have not yet woken up. On the other hand, there is no need to panic. Just try harder to defeat Trump. I have the benefit of being married to a pollster so I can see how flawed these polls really are. Everything “inside” as they call it is a mess. For example, a New York Times poll shows that Biden is not winning with women. Even if Biden were to lose the presidency, there is no world in which that would happen.
Private pollsters will weight their internal results to more accurately reflect actual voters. Media polls don’t do that because they can be accused of fabricating books. Therefore, unweighted data is used, which is very cumbersome.
Alexi: That’s a valid point, Danna. Of course, there are eight months until the election, but the Democratic coalition seems to become more fractured with each primary.
Eugene: Well, Nikki Haley got a lot of votes. I don’t think the Democrats are any less united than the Republicans. The point is that it’s close. And the courts aren’t going to bail out Democrats. they have to do it themselves.
Husband: that’s right. These polls should motivate Democrats, not discourage them. The stakes are too high. I think voters are equally dissatisfied with the potential candidates of both parties. However, the general election actually begins after this week. It’s no longer a question of Biden versus the ideal Democratic candidate, but a question of Biden versus the apocalypse.
Alexi: *Loading existential horror*
Eugene: He also competed against Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein. That may be important.
Husband: The constant harping on Biden’s age and his perceived shortcomings is insane. Unless God or nature intervenes, he is the candidate. Democrats need to stop fratricidal and realize that the alternative is far worse.
Alexi: Democrats have a lot to do between now and November to mobilize the public. They have begun to dispatch ministers and others across the country to spread the word about the administration’s accomplishments.
Eugene: You know, they’ve already sent some people there, but there wasn’t enough publicity.
Husband: I don’t really think the election hinges on the Secretary of Commerce’s visit to Detroit. It depends on whether Trump scares people to death.
Alexi: The Biden people are betting on that. Yes, you’re nervous, but aren’t you panicking yet?
Eugene: Some panic is a good thing. Even if people were waiting for a deus ex machina, it won’t happen. I panic and then get to work.
Husband: I think some fear is justified and motivating. But panic is paralyzing and there is no cause for it. I would definitely want Biden more than Trump at this point.
Alexi: Welcome to the general election. Time to buckle up!
Eugene: I think so. If Biden repeats his State of the Union performance last year, it would be a good kickoff.
Husband: And if he drooled on the podium, I would really start to panic.
🙅🏽♀️ 🙅🏽♀️ 🙅🏽♀️
As the media shifts towards the general election, there is a new sense of responsibility to report on the stakes of the campaign and accurately interpret the polls.
This article by Matthew Yglesias, author of the Slow Boring Substack newsletter, provides an insightful guide to why horse racing coverage actually matters. “I want to continue to address these questions about horse racing in the most rigorous way possible,” he wrote, adding, “If Biden loses, I hope he is just too old or a parent. The real story is that there are some real political downsides to pushing climate change to the center of the agenda, and when it comes to immigration, many people I think that means I more or less agree with Mr. Trump. ”
Even critical surveys of Trump in 2016 were “strangely underinformed,” Yglesias explained. “Much of the coverage of Trump, including very harsh and negative coverage, treats him as a kind of metaphor rather than as a human being.” That’s one of Biden’s biggest challenges this time around: President Trump’s white background. It’s about reminding the American people of the real threat posed by a return to the House.
To get an idea of what proper horse racing coverage looks like, also consider George F. Will’s recent column on Super Tuesday in the Post. Super Tuesday (March 5th) [Nikki] Ms. Haley continues to provoke Mr. Trump’s unsolicited claims that their opinions are invalid given necessity. If this were the case, owners would find it difficult to control his unpleasant temper, constantly threatening his calm. ”
It’s not just about who wins. It’s about what their victory means.
A self-described Midwest Republican user on the subreddit r/ChangeMyView debunks his theory that a Trump presidency in 2024 will irreversibly change American politics and partisanship as we know them. I was asking for help.
Many of the comments failed to make it, but one user offered a hypothesis that other users seemed to understand as well. “The only way to prevent this… is for the Republican Party, or the Republican Party as a whole, to hold him accountable. Many people, such as Liz Cheney, are a little… But I’m burned out trying to maintain my integrity. It’s probably going to take the political will of a deep bench of Never Trumpers and a wave of penitents who finally see the text. The Wall. There is a commitment from Fox to [to] I support that narrative. ”
- Post Opinion columnist Ruth Marcus was right. The Supreme Court will not save us from re-electing President Donald Trump. she wrote in january.
- “Super Thursday” is here: Author Joe Klein describes the dangers of Biden’s State of the Union address this week: read the reason.
- Please take your time with this: Author and podcast host Elizabeth Flock wrote “Post Opinions,” a powerful essay about abused women who resort to violence to survive. are they criminals?